← Grand Archive - Constructed - Storechamps
Water GenbuTier 1
at Grand Archive - Constructed - Storechamps
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-1-0
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
57.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1702
· median 1702
· range 1702–1702
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1164
Q1 1240
Q3 1462
1702
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 18.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.8% | -7.9 |
| Water Fractal | 18.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Water Chess | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
